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A Former Security Adviser Warns of Long-Term Peacekeeping in Ukraine

Lord Sedwill, a former national security adviser, has raised concerns about the potential deployment of UK troops to maintain peace in Ukraine, suggesting that such a mission could last “many years.” During an interview with the BBC’s The Week in Westminster, Lord Sedwill emphasized the need for strategic patience to provide Ukrainians with the security assurances necessary to uphold any peace agreements effectively. This statement comes in light of recent discussions between the UK, France, and other nations to form a coalition aimed at supporting Ukraine in its conflict with Russia.

Coalition of the Willing

Both the UK and France have expressed their willingness to send troops to bolster any ceasefire efforts in Ukraine. This initiative, known as the “coalition of the willing,” could potentially involve up to 20 other countries. While not all of these nations may send troops, they are expected to provide various forms of support to assist Kyiv in maintaining peace and security.

The UK Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, hosted a summit where the plan for this coalition was outlined. While specific details about the countries offering support and the nature of their contributions were not disclosed, it is believed that European and Commonwealth nations are among those showing interest. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Norway’s foreign minister Espen Barth Eide have both indicated their willingness to contribute to the coalition, albeit with varying degrees of commitment.

In an interview with the BBC, Espen Barth Eide emphasized the importance of defining what is at stake before committing to any military involvement. He stressed the need for a clear understanding of the peace agreement’s parameters before deciding on troop deployments or other forms of support. This cautious approach reflects the complexities and uncertainties surrounding international efforts to stabilize the region.

Lord Sedwill echoed similar sentiments, highlighting the need for sustained commitment to the cause. He warned that if Russia perceives any wavering in the resolve of the coalition, it could undermine the entire peacekeeping effort. The implication is clear: long-term dedication and perseverance are essential to ensuring the success of any peacekeeping mission in Ukraine.

Rising Concerns and European Responses

Amid these discussions, concerns have arisen regarding the stance of US President Donald Trump on the conflict. The decision to pause military aid to Ukraine, restrict intelligence sharing, and limit access to satellite imagery has raised questions about the US’s commitment to supporting Ukraine in its struggle for peace. Russian officials have vehemently opposed the idea of peacekeeping troops in Ukraine, viewing it as unwarranted NATO intervention in their conflict with Ukraine.

European leaders, on the other hand, have displayed a united front in bolstering defence and increasing military spending. At a summit in Brussels, EU leaders approved plans to jointly borrow €150bn to enhance military capabilities across member states. This move was hailed by Sir Keir Starmer as a historic step towards strengthening Europe’s defence capabilities.

The UK, in collaboration with France and Ukraine, is working on a peace plan to present to President Trump. This coordinated effort aims to navigate the complex geopolitical landscape and garner American support for the peacekeeping mission. Lord Sedwill lauded the recent additions of Finland and Sweden to NATO, highlighting the alliance’s robustness and its potential to safeguard European and American interests.

Rose Gottemoeller, former deputy secretary general of NATO, commended Europe’s proactive stance in supporting Ukraine, emphasizing the region’s commitment to its collective security. She noted the significance of European nations shouldering the responsibility of defending Ukraine, a move that underscores the alliance’s solidarity and cohesion in times of crisis.

Former UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace stressed the importance of European self-reliance in the face of potential US disengagement from NATO. He suggested that Europe has the resources and determination to fill any security gaps left by the US, reinforcing the region’s capacity to protect its interests and uphold peace in Ukraine.

In conclusion, the road to lasting peace in Ukraine is fraught with challenges and uncertainties. The collaborative efforts of European nations, alongside potential American support, hold the key to stabilizing the region and preventing further escalation of the conflict. As Lord Sedwill aptly stated, strategic patience and long-term commitment are essential to turning the tide in Ukraine and securing a peaceful future for its people.